Saying The Unsaid – Guest Blog by Dr John Shosky

bigstock_Union_Jack_211439Because of the fluid and turbulent hostage crisis in Algeria, yesterday (January 17, 2013) British Prime Minister David Cameron postponed a scheduled speech about the European Union.  But the speech itself was leaked to the press.  For my British friends, the stories about the speech are part of today’s discussion.  For the international audience, we are rapidly catching up.

It was huge, a major speech about a change in British participation in the EU.  If given, it would have been powerful with dominating world-wide headlines and a profound impact on the European economic landscape.  As a non-event it still garnered significant comment in Britain that was vigorous, energetic, and often angry.  The speech would have had an immediate, devastating economic impact within the EU.  There would have been a political firestorm throughout Europe.  Financial markets would have reacted swiftly with more dispatch and disparity. Continue reading

Print & Broadcast Media Tips – First Steps

When dealing with the media in politics, it is important to know how to approach journalists and how to prepare for interviews. YBF will provide advice to help you achieve your media goals.
  1. Be Realistic: the press is not your PR machinery! It faces time and space limitations. Before you peddle news to journalists, try to think like a journalist. Does the story have a human interest angle? Is it genuinely relevant to the newspaper’s readers? Or is it parochial and irrelevant?
  2. Be Prepared: make sure you know who the editors and reporters are! You must also only ever give an interview when you are ready – if you need time, ask for the reporter’s deadline, tell him you need to collect information, offer to get back to him at a certain and then make sure you do so. If you upset a journalist, be prepared for the consequences…
  3. Be Accessible: media relations is about human relations. You should never simply say “no comment” as this suggests you are hiding something. Explain why you cannot comment, discuss general policy instead of specifics and/or switch the topic to something you can say.
  4. Be Honest: never lie to a journalist. Ever. If you have bad news, admit it and move on to corrective action. Lying will come back to haunt you. Just like Bill “I-did-not-have-sexual-relations-with-that-woman” Clinton.
  5. Be Quotable: if you are dull journalists will not come back to talk to you again. Make your quotes memorable. Put your issues into plain English in a way that connects with voters. Rather than giving an unmemorable quote because you are in a hurry, delay putting out your message so that it is properly crafted.

Conservative Movement Profile: The Institute of Economic Affairs

The Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) was the UK’s first original free-market think tank. A registered educational and research charity based in London, the IEA was first conceived after founder Sir Antony Fisher read a summary of F A Hayek’s Road to Serfdom in an issue of Reader’s Digest. After speaking with Hayek, who advised him to avoid politics in favor of intellectuals, and publishing his own book, The Case for Freedom, the IEA was born with Fisher as director in 1955. Continue reading

The Passing of Judge Robert Bork – Guest Blog by Dr John Shosky

Robert BorkToday (December 19, 2012), conservatives on both sides of the Atlantic are in mourning.  Judge Robert Bork, one of the greatest legal scholars produced by American education, has died at age 85.  This is a great loss for those who believe in “original interpretation” of the American Constitution.   It is also a loss for those who prize intelligence, sound thinking, and political courage.  Judge Bork was a profoundly gifted scholar, one of the most influential cultural and intellectual figures of our time.  He was a mainstay in the development and defence of American conservatism, mentioned in the same breathe as Barry Goldwater, Ronald Reagan, William F. Buckley, Jr., and even Margaret Thatcher. Continue reading

USA Guest Blog – A Tribute to Ron Paul

By Megan Moore

Last Wednesday Ron Paul gave his farewell speech to Congress, having represented Texas’ 14th Congressional district for thirty-six years. ‘My goals in 1976,’ he said, ‘were the same as they are today: promote peace and prosperity by a strict adherence to the principles of individual liberty.’

Paul’s unwavering commitment to these goals has certainly cost him allies and standing within his party: during the Bush years, he was one of just six Republicans who voted against military action against Iraq 2002, and one of just three Republicans who voted against the PATRIOT Act. Staunchly pro-life, he has stuck to his principle that this is a matter for state legislatures, opposing not only federal funding of abortion but the federal criminalization of sex-selective terminations as ‘unconstitutional’.

Because of this, as he acknowledged in his speech, his career has not been a success in the conventional sense. Nevertheless, Paul’s effect on Republican politics has been considerable. His long-standing advocacy of the gold standard and opposition to the Federal Reserve have been instrumental in edging these ideas closer to the mainstream of political discourse, while the recent election was notable for the success of ‘Ron Paul Republicans’, those candidates endorsed by Paul or the Young Americans for Liberty PAC. Continue reading

Guest Blog – Why We Should Support Israel’s Right to Defend Itself

By Stephen Hoffman

Since 2001 over 12,800 rockets have hit Israel from Gaza, which is an average of 3 rocket attacks a day. This has worsened since 2005, when Israel in a serious move towards peace pulled out of Gaza. Hamas who took over the Gaza Strip turned the area into a terror training camp where groups like Islamic Jihad and Al Qaeda have been given free rein. Thanks to this since 2005 8,000 rockets have been fired into Israel. This initially reached a head in January 2009, in Operation Cast Lead, when Israel defended itself from the constant barrage of rocket attacks, by target military targets and Hamas. This weakened significantly Hamas’ capabilities, but it did not lead to a complete cessation of violence from The Gaza Strip.

Unfortunately, Hamas who in its charter calls for the destruction of Israel and to throw all Jews into the sea, is responsible for the recent firing of over 120 rockets from Gaza into Israel, which just today killed three Israeli civilians in an apartment block. Israel cannot just sit by when over a million of its citizens have had their lives put in danger and severely disrupted due to the actions of Hamas.

The current attacks began on Saturday night (Nov.10), when anti-tank missiles were fired at an army Jeep travelling on the Israeli side of the border. Four IDF soldiers were injured. Since then, over 120 rockets have been fired at Israeli civilians. So just to make that clear, it was Hamas who caused the latest rounds of attacks. It’s clear from their callous actions that Hamas sees both Israelis and their own citizens’ lives as expendable. Israel launched Operation Pillar of Defence to defend itself and to protect the security of its inhabitants.

This is the duty of any nation state and it shouldn’t be attacked for doing this. It has demonstrated great restraint, but the escalation of events over the past few days forced Israel to react. Yet, some still deign to criticise Israel for responding to severe provocation. It’s like the teacher suspending the pupil in school who responds to relentless bullying.  Continue reading

What’s Missing from the US Presidential Election? – Guest Blog by Dr John Shosky

By Dr John Shosky

Days away from the American election the race remains a toss-up.  The pundits are in over-drive trying to explain the close races in states like Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Colorado, and elsewhere.  After Hurricane Sandy, the candidates have resumed speaking and travelling non-stop.  Words, words, words.  We are drowning in words that do nothing.

The election should not even be close.  The economy is in serious trouble.  The bailout didn’t revive the economy.  Barack Obama has no agenda for a second term, only platitudes about creating an equal society.  He has looked un-presidential in the debates and his campaign speeches.  Mitt Romney has not provided persuasive ideological alternatives like Ronald Reagan did thirty years ago.  Romney in jeans and rolled-up shirts has looked un-presidential himself.  There is an intellectual void, a barren and discouraging rhetorical emptiness.  Nothing … nothing …  nothing … that has been said has a lasting impact.  Some voters are left with visceral feelings of anger, frustration about having to choose between the lesser of two evils, and hollow dejection about the future of the economy and the country.  This election should have a tone of optimism and nostalgia for the future.  Sadly, it doesn’t.  Look at the lack of excitement as many politicians and campaign workers simply go through the motions.

A key reason for this close race is the absence of rhetorical impact, the missing words and ideas that create separation between candidates.  Candidates want to use language to bond with an audience and heal division.  But they also must use language to define difference between those running for office.  Speechwriters and veteran political observers instantly look for those words.  Voters need them.  Their absence is obvious, speech after speech.  After millions of words in thousands of speeches this election is defined more by what is missing than by what has been said.  The close races are a primarily a product of mind-numbing, vacuous, or weak word choices that fail to have any lasting impact with voters.  That’s right.  In swing states the issue is not primarily party.  Undecided and independent voters are looking and listening.  Most are not finding what they need to make a distinctive choice. Yes, we have heard about Bain Capital, tax payments, personal wealth, and other comments by Obama about Romney.  And we have heard from Obama about killing bin Laden, saving Detroit, and federal compulsory health care (Obamacare).  And Romney has discussed high taxes, over-regulation, a do-nothing administration, and expanding government.  Where are the profound, unforgettable words that define voting issues?  Where are the words that go for the jugular?  This election has produced some of the most infantile, dead-on-arrival, and embarrassing rhetoric in the history of presidential elections.  For example, there was no lasting traction with Obama’s use of “Romnesia,” “the war on women,” ”47 percent,” or other efforts to taint Romney, making him the issue.  In turn, Romney has produced no classic, icon descriptions of the last four years, even though middle class income is down by forty percent, unemployment is struck at eight percent, and American foreign policy is in retrenchment.  After billions of dollars, years of preparation, and opportunities galore, is this the best they can do?  Obama’s excellent White House speechwriters are prohibited by law from participating in political events.  So they are out.  Where is a rhetorical genius like Ted Sorensen, Richard Goodwin, Michael Gerson, or even the earlier version of David Plouffe?  Where is a veteran, cut-through-the-crap person like Pat Buchanan, Lee Atwater, James Carville, Alastair Campbell, or Eric Pickles?  Where is the savvy guidance of a Geoffrey Howe or David Gergen?   What about using the trans-Atlantic wisdom of a Peter Botting (the master) or Shane Greer (who may know more about American politics than most American politicians)?  Not all words are equal.  Words are weapons.  Every battle is a battle of ideas.  Where is the literary passion and visionary inspiration of a Peggy Noonan or Phil Collins (the Blair speechwriter)? Continue reading

USA Guest Blog – The State of the Race

By Hugh Critchley

Judging by much of the British press, you would think that President Obama is cruising comfortably to victory, with many newspapers reporting his “clear victory” in Tuesday’s debate and his sturdy lead in the battleground states of Ohio, Florida and Virginia. This is simply not the case – the race is far closer than that. National polls have been getting closer and closer since the first debate. A Gallup national poll released yesterday even put Romney ahead of Obama by 7 points, leading 52% – 45%. A week ago they were locked in a dead heat with each other at 48%. Obama’s ‘lock’ states – those that are certain to vote for him – are down to 10 whereas Romney has 13. A still more startling revelation yesterday is that Romney took his first lead in the electoral college poll. He is now projected to take 206 votes, with Obama taking 201. There are 131 votes potentially left to play for. Furthermore, the University of Colorado study, renowned for its accuracy, predicts a 77% likelihood of Romney taking the popular vote. This is significant because firstly only four presidents in the nation’s history have taken the White House without winning the popular vote, and secondly this study has never been wrong.

Other polling metrics are looking good for Romney as well. The economy is undoubtedly the central issue of this election, and a USA/Gallup poll has Romney’s favourability on handling the economy at 63%-23% among likely voters. One should take note of his recent performance in the battleground states, in which his recent focus seems to have started to pay off. In Ohio, considered to be the most crucial state, Romney has cut Obama’s lead in the polls to just 1 point at 49%-48%. In the very blue state of New Hampshire Obama’s lead is also just a single point. Another striking statistic of the ‘Romney Surge’ following his exemplar performance in the first (and second) debate is that in Wisconsin one poll has Obama’s lead is also down to 1. Two weeks ago he led by 11 points. That is an extraordinary swing in such a short time. See also North Carolina, where the Democrats held their national convention this year, Romney leads that hotly contested state by 6 points, 58%-46%. Romney is also leading in Florida now, very much a swing state, by 49.3% to 46.8%. Virginia, another of the big three swing-states is now polling with Romney ahead by 3 points at 50% -47%. That’s quite a lead in such a sought after state and Obama has done a lot of campaigning there. Continue reading

Campaign Speeches Matter – Guest Blog by Dr John Shosky

The YBF emphasis on public speaking training matters.  Not everyone would agree.  The current disregard of speeches would be sadly laughable, except for the widespread ignorance of the true place and power of words in a campaign.  Standing on the sidelines, watching tens of millions of dollars wasted in the current political season in the United States, one can see vast opportunities ignored and preventable errors made by the disdain of speech crafting and speech delivery.  Some people are just filling the air with words that are diseased and dead.  The speeches are forgettable.  Nothing happens after a speech.  Often the clumsy, inexperienced, ridiculous results are sickening.

With apologies to Shakespeare, the speech is the thing.  Just ask Barack Obama.  His well-crafted story as speech, delivered with eloquence and inspiration, gave him the presidency in 2008. Continue reading

USA Guest Blog – Mitt Romney in Ohio

By Megan Moore

The Romney campaign has gone to Ohio, one of the most important swing states of the election. A significant bellwether whose electoral results have a national match rate of 93.%, no Republican president has won an election without it. If Romney can secure victory in the Buckeye State, Obama will struggle greatly to make up the lost electoral votes in states where his popularity is far less secure.

But the difficulties that Romney faces in Ohio must not be underestimated: the latest polls show Obama has a 10-point lead over his opponent in the state. While blue-collar workers and Catholics, populous in the industrial towns along the Ohio River, have notably been expressing less enthusiasm for Obama, that does not necessarily translate into votes for Romney. For one thing, Obama’s ‘white working-class problem’ is arguably overstated, and statistically significant only in the South. Then there is the auto industry bailout. One in eight jobs in Ohio are linked to the auto industry, while 82 of the 88 counties are home to supplier auto plants. Given the importance of the industry in the state, Romney’s ‘bankruptcy’ remarks could, to say the very least, have been better and more persuasively put, and Obama has made hay with them on his many previous visits to the state. The auto bailout is the primary reason why dissatisfaction with the floundering economy does not, in Ohio, translate into dissatisfaction with Obama – thus undermining the narrative of Romney’s campaign. Continue reading